*long-ish post*

My boyfriend and i have been together 3 years now and we’re starting to play around with the idea of trying for the first time. To spare you the details we have unprotected sex after he ejaculates. He doesn’t wash off or go pee, we just get to BDing. Before i get the birth control comments let me just say i used to be on the pill then we went to condoms and now we’re at this stage willingly. Instead of stressing we are on terms of “if it happens it happens, if it doesn’t it will another time” my question here is how likely can you truly get pregnant from this? We’ve used pull out before but nothing happened. I should be ovulating within 2-4 days and was curious if someone could give me insight on how likely i could conceive this month🤔