37+5 back ache and cramping

Morgan • Mommy to 6 ❤️ Married to my best friend 🥰

I’m 37 weeks 5 days today. I lost my mucus plug in 2 large pieces yesterday morning and early afternoon. Off and on yesterday and all day today I’ve had a moderate low back ache and some mensural type cramping.. no real contractions yet, some tightening but not super painful. Last Wednesday i was dilated to a 2 and 50% effaced. Any chance this is early labor and I’ll meet our sweet boy soon? I know everyone is different and there’s no real way to tell unless I start having regular contractions, I’m just curious and impatient 😂