?? helpp

Sorry if this is not the right group, basically I got my iud taken out December 18th. I spotted for a few days but no real period. Skip forward to this month, had my first real period for 2 days bled heavy then it disappeared so I’m guessing that was my first period?! Anyways last night I had the worst one sided cramps ever. I had to force myself to sleep. They felt like they were deep in my left hip almost. Does that mean I ovulated last night? Either way what do you guys think my chances are for a bfp this month?! I’m new to this app and trying to track things 😭 just tryna figure it out as I go!