Ok ladies I need yalls help!

Here is my chart. This morning was the 3rd day of higher temps and fertility friend JUST now said I ovulated because of it. It says that I ovulated wayyyyy earlier than just a few days ago. I'm thinking maybe my progesterone levels are low? The first patch of fertile CM came right on time and I thought I would for sure ovulate but my tempts didn't rise so I didn't think I ovulated.  But I had all symptoms including one sided cramping as well as 1 tiny spot of pink blood around midnight between CD 15&16. Could it be possible that I did in fact ovulate on CD 15??