was Glow wrong?

Glow put me with my fertile window starting yesterday, May 14th, with highest chance of conception Saturday.  I track myCM and bbt and I think I ovulated yesterday (CD 14) based on temp surge and EWCM for the past two days.  I usually have 30-32 day cycles and ovulate around CD 16. We aren't TTC right now but DHand I did have unprotected sex Sunday (CD 11).  What are chances for pregnancy?!?  A little worried but excited too.