Might be pregnant from an accident?

So we have two kids already and I've been using glow to track when it's "safe" to have intercourse, we've used the pull out method successfully for over a year, but the 20th and 19th of last month we didn't pull out.

I didn't think much of it because there was supposed to be such a low chance of pregnancy that day. It was like a 3% chance. The past two days I've been really sick in the morning and having bad acid reflux, which has been a tell for me with my previous pregnancies.

I'm due for a period in seven days, but my cycles are irregular. How likely is it that we would actually be pregnant??