I'd say bloat, but cute shirt! ;) however I'm not good at this "game." I just looked fatter until almost 7 months with my first, so I have no idea when it's "normal" to start showing or what bloat vs baby really looks like. That being said, I've got quite the bloat going on and if I put a maternity shirt on now, it'd look just like I was 5mo+. I'm only 7.4 weeks. Who knows, really. Either way, I'm gonna do my best to hide whatever this is for at least another month because I'm not announcing anytime soon.