Start of labor or false labor?

Stomach tightening & a ton of lower pressure. I’ve already lost mucus plug & I had bloody show this past weekend. I know mucus plug can come back(-just staying for more info). I got in the shower & the pressure is gone for now but my stomach is still tightening on & off. Feels like I have to use the restroom (bm-TMI sorry) but when I try I don’t have to. I’ve not had Braxton Hicks like this but I’m a ftm so I’m not sure how to tell difference between them & real deal. Currently 39 weeks 2 days. Baby was at station 0 & 80% effaced this past Friday but was only dilated to a 1.

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