Calculate due date with long cycle?

LB
LMP started 9/30. Peak OPK on 10/20. We BD 10/19, 10/20, and 10/21. 
If I use LMP baby is due 7/6 with date of conception of 10/14 and I'm 5w5d. Unlikely because I don't think I ovulated that early based off of peak OPK. 
If I use date of conception of 10/20 then baby is due 7/12 and I'm 4w6d. 
Any thoughts? I know the doctor will measure and ultrasound will help but I'd like to have a rough estimate! 
Thanks!