Scarring or Keloid?

So I got this done at the end of December. I've cleaned it properly and have had no problems, until now. A few days ago, I noticed a bump and I assumed it was hypertrophic scarring, cause I've gotten this before. Well, yesterday, I had my mom help me clean it, cause it's been getting super crusty lately from healing and it's hard for me to see what I'm doing. This time, however, she put way more pressure on it with the Q-tip and now it's gotten bigger and it's so sore it feels like it did after I got it done. Please tell me it a irritated hypertrophic scar, cause I can't afford to treat a Keloid.): TIA