Educated guesses please?

I've been experiencing intense Braxton Hicks/borderline prodomal labour (since Saturday almost every night I've had inconsistent contractions around the same time lasting between 1hour 30-3 hours but they always stop eventually) I've also started losing small little bits of mucus plug discharge when using the toilet. I'm 38+1 (it's 1:14am here) and I've been experiencing loose bowel movements and right now I keep switching between my wool jumper and my ice pack. I'm a ftm and I'd love some predictions or ideas about when my little boy is actually going to make an appearance, as frankly this is exhausting but I don't want to deliberately try to induce anything until 39 weeks.