Labor timeline?

Sa

40+1 today. Yesterday I had a cervical exam where my doctor attempted to stretch me a little. She said I was a "tight 1cm" and a few hours after my appointment I got crampy and had what I'm pretty sure was my bloody show (could have just been from the cervical exam but there was quite a bit of it). Woke up early this morning to pee and there's no mistaking I just lost my mucus plug. I'm getting excited and curious to know how soon/late after your plug did your water break or contractions start?? I have an induction scheduled for 12/23 due to babys size and I'm starting to feel hopeful that maybe I'll go into spontaneous labor instead!!! 🤞😅