What are my chances?

I bought the clear blue digital advanced ovulation tests. I took one Friday and got a blank circle. Took another one saturday and got a blinking smiley. Took another one Sunday and got the same thing. So I BD that night. Woke up Monday and got my solid smiley. Finally reached my peak days. :) then had sex again tue night. I had slippery cm sat-tue. What are my chances of getting pregnant? 

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