How likely?

Sorry if this sounds dumb, I’m FTP (first time parent) but how likely is it that I’ll go into labor after having a membrane sweep? My doc said he’s going to at my next appointment (tomorrow) and at my last appointment 2 weeks ago (36wP) I was already 2cm dilated. I’m 38w and I’ve been having frequent but inconsistent conditions since my last appointment I’m just curious if it’s likely that I’ll go into labor the day after my appointment or if nothing will change 🤨🤨