I need an expert reader

Alright. I’m utterly confused. We’re on month 4 TTC and I feel like we keep missing the mark. It is CD19 and my temp took a HUGE drop. I usually ovulate around cycle day 15/16. Every time my temp does a huge drop like this post fertile days I feel it’s ovulation day and we’re missing it. I’ve already had my peak on CD14. There’s no way today is ovulation day right? 😵‍💫 I feel regardless we should just baby dance just in case it truly is. 🤷🏼‍♀️ I’m lost…help!