What are my chances?

Hey Ladies, hope you’re all doing ok on this journey. It can be a tough one. I’m wondering, what your thoughts are because I’m overthinking so much and it’s doing my head in. This cycle I ovulated on CD14, a couple of days earlier than the last few (CD17). Hubby is away on and off for the next 6 months, 4 days away, 4 days home. And this cycle was his first time away. We had sex on CD12 (night) and I ovulated 2 days later. What do you think my chances are? He is home tonight.