What are the chances?

I've been ttc for 6 months with my fiance and every month has obviously been a bfn, and while I'm super happy for mums that get their BFP really soon. I just really don't know if it's worth testing cause I don't wanna be sad all Christmas weekend. I ovulated on the 11th and I'm sure of it cause I cramped really bad that night. The only unexplainable symptom I might have is sore nipples that started yesterday but they feel better now. I've never experienced that in my boobs before (ever). I'm cramping slightly in my lower tummy but no spotting so I just don't know. I'm tired but I think it's cause I wake up super early. I just don't know what to think if anyone has some insight or felt anything like this before please let me know. I truly appreciate all the advice. posting anon cause I'm really shyyy