How do you “confirm” ovulation?

Okay, I have always felt pretty confident that I ovulate, as I’ve had three consecutive losses this year, two ultrasounds confirmed I did for those given cycles, I do OPKs, and I get the physical symptoms.

HOWEVER, this cycle has been confusing. I didn’t get peak fertility from the stupid digital opk until cycle day 16/17, even though i interpreted the dip in my bbt as O time. So I started my progesterone supplements on day 17, but now I’m worried I didn’t ovulate till a couple days ago! Or that the progesterone stopped me from ovulating!

Im so tired of stressing over this shit! Can someone take a look at my chart and let me know what they think?