When would you guess?

This is my 4th. My previous 3 were all induced between 37-38 weeks. At 37 weeks I was 2cm dilated and she could feel his head. Since that visit I’ve been having contractions every 7-10 minutes for a few hours before they fade off. At 38 weeks (Monday) I was 3cm and 65% effaced, and she did a membrane sweep. I passed my mucus plug about 20 hours later. At 36 weeks he was measuring 6 pounds 9oz. I’ve been “dropped” for about 2 weeks now. My due date (based on period and conception) is October 14. When would you guess he’d be here? Every day feels like “the day” 😖 What were your experiences with your 4th delivery, membrane sweep, etc?