Why is my baby so small ?

Shay
So today I went in for my weekly appointment (37 weeks) and my baby is measuring small , two weeks ago he estimated baby to be 7 pounds 12 ounces and so last week they told me to start trying to dilate , I go in today and they measure me and baby has made little progress so now they estimate he'll be 5 pounds 15 ounces , he said which is okay weight because I'm going in for vbac and I also have GD with controlled diet , soo question is how accurate is the estimate without US ?

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