How likely is it?

So possibly tmi, I am almost certain my ovulation days are correct due to my cm, cramping and fatigue. So I do believe my peak ovulation is tonight (Tuesday night) my man is out of town for work so the last time we bd was early Sunday morning (7 am ish). So that puts us at almost 3 days prior to ovulation. Is there a chance?? Last month it was the same way and got my bfn but I wanna know if I should have hope,? Thanks in advance 😌💫