OPINIONS?

3 weeks ago yesterday I had sex without a condom and he pulled out .. I am on the pill which I take perfectly .. that also happened to be on the first day of my new pack (been on the pill for years) every other time this

month we’ve used a condom and he finished inside me , in the condom .. bleed suspected to come tomorrow. my breasts are tender & im cramping SLIGHTLY. what do you guys think my chances of pregnancy are? and please don’t say “anytime you have sex there’s a risk” because I know I just wanna know in this scenario.